Political Uncertainties in Pakistan

A must read Unanswered Question ......The News....

LAHORE: The top leadership of both the major coalition partners, the PPP and the PML-N, is clueless about the possible political scenarios that may develop when, and if, the grave uncertainties clouding the post-election scene are somehow removed.

After long background interactions with key leaders of the two parties it has emerged that no one, except Mr Asif Ali Zardari and possibly one or two of his un-elected associates, knows where the political situation is headed.

The top leadership of the PML-N operating from Jati Umrah in Raiwind genuinely feels and complains that Mr Zardari has kept them out of the loop not only on his future plans but even on major administrative and governance decisions being taken by Yousuf Raza Gilani’s supposed coalition government.

The PPP leadership at the Zardari House is equally in the dark because none of the elected PPP leaders in top positions are taken into confidence by Mr Zardari and the major reason is lack of trust in the leadership which was close to Benazir Bhutto and not to Mr Zardari before her assassination.

Those who were close to Mr Zardari were all exiles, or his personal friends and most of them are un-elected and have been imposed on key positions, thus reporting to their boss and caring little about the chain of command in a democratic set-up.

The prime minister is briefed by Mr Zardari on a need-to-know basis while all critical orders are passed on by the new King to his men controlling the main posts under the prime minister, who is frequently asked to sign on dotted lines.

The major uncertainties clouding the scene include:

- Whether President Pervez Musharraf will be impeached, and when?

- Will the deposed judges be restored, how and when?

- What will happen if the President is impeached and how will the coalition handle the post-Musharraf situation?

- Who will be the next president and would he be elected by consensus?

- Would the next president have the same powers as Mr Musharraf?

- Whether all the PCO judges would be retained and if not, how many would go home?

- What will happen if the PPP refuses to restore the deposed judges and how will the PML-N react?

- What will happen if the PML-N decides to break the coalition and sits in the Opposition?

- Will the PPP form a coalition with the remnants of Musharraf's regime, including the PML-Q and what will be the fallout of this new partnership on PPP's politics?

- Will the main parties go back to the politics of the 90s and destroy each other in the process or have they learnt any lesson to live and let live, even if they disagree politically?

- What will happen if the PPP splits because of the unique style of Mr Zardari's handling of party and government affairs?

- Whether it would be a good idea to impeach the president first or to restore the judges before the impeachment.

- How long can these basic issues remain unsolved before the president and/or the Establishment strikes back at the political system?

While this long list of questions awaits credible answers, other major problems confronted by the State and the government remain unattended and the consequence of inaction on some of these critical issues may lead to the wrapping up of not only the political system but may damage national security and integrity as well. Among these critical issues are:

- Who is going to look after the swiftly creeping Talibanisation in the tribal as well as settled areas of NWFP, and even parts of Punjab, because handing over the problem again to the military, which almost single handedly dealt with the issue for the last eight years and failed, is not going to work?

- Where is the religious and ideological counter-offensive to the ideology and message of the Taliban because, strictly speaking, the Taliban are pushing one particular brand of Islam while the vast majority of Muslims in the country do not agree with that particular brand but are silent spectators as no one has tried to mobilise them and use them against the Taliban on an ideological level.

- What would be the political strategy if the military offensive against our own Taliban fails and another round of debilitating suicide bombings engulfs the country, as has already been threatened by militant leaders?

- Where is the political consensus against foreign intervention in the country's internal affairs, especially the growing US threats and attacks, aptly demonstrated by the warning echoed by a dummy sitting in Kabul by the name of President Hamid Karzai?

- Where is the joint political initiative to stop the downward spiraling economic situation, with the ballooning oil prices working as a destructive catalyst and manipulation of the country's stock exchanges by a few money houses who have struck deals with the top PPP men?

There are many more issues but even the ones listed above are enough to shake and uproot any formidable coalition government, yet in our case the leaders are almost oblivious to the situation and have trapped themselves into issues which they could have settled quickly and smoothly in just a few days so that the way was clear for major policy decisions and initiatives. But our answer to all these issues, questions and threats has been simple, in fact just one --- Mr Zardari.

Knowing his capacity and shrewdness, it can be said with confidence that on most of these critical fronts he is going to fail. What would that mean for the other political parties and his coalition partners is any body's guess but the PML-N leadership is deeply worried that if he fails, he will take the entire system with him.

Thus there is a deep sense of fear and concern in Raiwind that while Mr Zardari should not be allowed to fail, he has to be convinced somehow to rise to the occasion and stop playing petty games. This is where the PML-N leadership is clueless as they have been stung by the PPP leader more than once and do not know how long to keep testing his skills while keeping their cool and staying patient.

Raiwind has also received a clear message, of course without any elaboration, that Mr Zardari now wants Musharraf's impeachment process to be expedited and the PML-N leaders are not clear how to handle this as they have not been briefed about the entire plan and no one has consulted them about what would happen after the impeachment is completed.

One possible option being considered by the top PML-N leadership is that in the absence of any details, would it be practical and possible for Raiwind to link the impeachment with the restoration of the judges on a quid pro quo basis? But no one is sure whether it is a good or a bad idea to move in that direction.

Of course the entire PPP leadership and the federal government is unaware of these top-level political matters as they are thought by the Zardari House as the jokers who are there to implement orders.

But the most frightening scenario envisaged by some in the PML-N leadership is that one fine morning, when the going gets tough for whatever reason, Mr Zardari and all his foreign returned exiled cronies now in key positions will suddenly take off to their foreign homes and businesses, leaving all the other Pakistanis with their dirty linen and a mud pond to swim in. This is a real possibility and a threat.

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	http://www.thenews.com.pk/top_story_detail.asp?Id=15687

oh bhai pakistan mien joo bhi power mien hoota hai, uss kay baray mien eik hi baat kahee jaa saktee hai.

undhoon mien kaana raja.

sab kay sab choor hain.

_________________
"You are free- you are free to go to your temples mosques or any other place of worship in this state of Pakistan. You may belong to any religion, caste or creed, THAT HAS NOTHING TO DO WITH THE BUSINESS OF THE STATE"... Jinnah, Aug 11th 1947.

	que10 wrote:
	oh bhai pakistan mien joo bhi power mien hoota hai, uss kay baray mien eik hi baat kahee jaa saktee hai. undhoon mien kaana raja. sab kay sab choor hain.

bhai is dafa game palat gayee hai..........yeah Musharraf aur Zardari is mulk ko lay dobain gay.................

how i am seeing this situation is three pillars of state executive,administration & judiciary are fighting .Its really good.previously in the last 60 yrs whole country was under a blanket.Nobody knows it whats wrong & whats right.and reason was country was running on the foriengn aid.so nobody could feel the real heat.Now from top to the bottom are feeling the heat.so its good.I am seeing the positivilty in it.Now the people will see who is real and who is fake.
so message is just watch there fight.

salman125 wrote:

how i am seeing this situation is three pillars of state executive,administration & judiciary are fighting .Its really good.previously in the last 60 yrs whole country was under a blanket.Nobody knows it whats wrong & whats right.and reason was country was running on the foriengn aid.so nobody could feel the real heat.Now from top to the bottom are feeling the heat.so its good.I am seeing the positivilty in it.Now the people will see who is real and who is fake.
so message is just watch there fight.

WHY DO YOU WANT PAKI PPL TO SUFFER FOR THEIR LEARNING ....WE ALL KNOW WHERE THIS IS HEADING AND YOU STILL SUPPORT IT JUST FOR THE SAKE TAHT PAKI PPL WILL LEARN THEIR LESSON............IF WE DONT GET OUT OF THE TURMOIL SOON WE ARE HISTORY WE DONE .....

Three pillars of state will get balance after this fight.Lot many people will detained from this battle.Lot many will part of history.but this is the way in democracy ,departments maintain there credibility.so what i am seeing this is good.as fas as it will keep on going.No player go for compromise.which there are lot many chances like Nswaz sharif is backing off.there are rumors some judges are coming to resolve this issue on give and take basis.This fight is very important.

Before returning to Pakistan, Dr AQ Khan had a successful career and was living a comfortable life in Europe, something many of our countrymen yearn for and would be willing to sacrifice a great deal in pursuit of. Very few people would be willing to give this up and return to Pakistan, Dr Khan being one of them. His sole motivation being Pakistan’s betterment and defence, a noble aim indeed. The action performed by him and his team enabled Pakistan to stand with dignity and free from cowering in India’s shadow.

The way Dr Khan is being treated is despicable. Our spineless Leaders and system are corrupt to the core. It is this system that allowed Dr Khan, a hero to be degraded and treated as a common criminal whilst at the same time this filthy system elevated notoriously corrupt politicians who have harmed and looted the country to become innocent over night and enabled them to assume positions of leadership under the shade of the NRO.

Only the Khilafah system offers an effective challenge to a corrupt system and leaders. The Khilafah system would value and ensure the protection of its citizens (Muslim & Non-Muslim); it would encourage contribution from its citizens by being loyal and cultivating a conducive, fair environment where justice is applied and not manipulated.

What kind of signal is this filthy, corrupt system sending to other overseas Pakistanis who have the desire of emulating Dr Khan by serving Pakistan – Don’t!!! Perhaps we should be organising a long march to change this corrupt system.

This statesco will remain untill we establish a system & change the political structure completely.How we will not face the uncertainities when there is no system existing.Pakista is running through this formula"Chor ne Chor ko pakrra,Chor ne Chor ko Chor ke saamne paish kiya aur Chor ne Chor ko muhaf kiya"Upper se niche tak sub chors ya chor ko support karne walle.It includes Parliament,establishment,judiciary,President,law inforcement agencies even Army etc.So how can we expect something else."As you sow,so shall you reap".

I don’t see here any politician sincere to the poor nation of Pakistan. They are mother sellers, only Allah can show them guidance, or teach them terrible lesson, otherwise don’t ask me what kind of rotten and decaying piece of garbbage they are, who are sucking the blood of 160 millions people.

inayat khan qazi wrote:

This statesco will remain untill we establish a system & change the political structure completely.How we will not face the uncertainities when there is no system existing.Pakista is running through this formula"Chor ne Chor ko pakrra,Chor ne Chor ko Chor ke saamne paish kiya aur Chor ne Chor ko muhaf kiya"Upper se niche tak sub chors ya chor ko support karne walle.It includes Parliament,establishment,judiciary,President,law inforcement agencies even Army etc.So how can we expect something else."As you sow,so shall you reap".

Qazi u said this statesco will remain until we establish a system and change the political structure completely ...........CAN YOU EXPLAIN WHO ARE YOU REFFERRING TO BY SAYING "WE".............

Time is gone to expect from our these socalled polititions,every one is working for the accumiliation of their wealth through all sort of a corruption.By "we" I mean the people (Nation) of Pakistan.If weleave it to these politition Pakistan is leading towards a bloo.. revolution.It is on the verge of breaking off,which only we people have to take innitiative to avoid.The least we can do to educate our masses in the meantime every Pakistani whose agenda is Pakistan & not his personal or political interests should serve in his individual capacity.It is asked too much but it is n ot impossible & which other way is left for us.I am not a day dreamer but a optimistic person which is still thinking possitive,from somewhere we have to start.We should atleast project some new & honest people to lead us not those who are already proven Chors.